C
E
R
F
Econ
CERF
C
E
R
F
Econ
CERF
Economic & Market Intelligence
Briefings
How to read EconCERF
Daily Briefing
Weekly Brief
Economic Intelligence
Macro Monitor
Growth
Labor
Inflation
Policy
Risk
Liquidity
Market Outlook
Market-Implied Outlook
Market Intelligence
Market State
Cross-Asset Analysis
Equity Pulse
Rate Central
FX Pulse
Commodities
Signal Integrity
Model Validation
Economic Regime
Market Stress & Crisis
Tools
Scenario Lab
Regime Timeline
The Macro Framework
Indicator Thresholds
Pillar Logic
Regime Scoring
Data as of
Oct 20, 2026
The policy reading (hawkish, neutral or dovish), short-term rates and the yield curve against their thresholds.
Built from the policy indicators ยท Moves daily for yields, at each Fed meeting for rates
Key Evidence
These 5 indicators determine the pillar classification.
1Y
5Y
10Y
Max
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